Kyoto Protocol and the emissions
targets
of countries included in Annex B
Country |
Target (1990** - 2008/2012) |
EU-15*, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia,Liechtenstein,
Lithuania, Monaco, Romania,Slovakia,Slovenia, Switzerland |
-8% |
US*** |
-7% |
Canada, Hungary, Japan, Poland |
-6% |
Croatia |
-5% |
New Zealand, Russian Federation, Ukraine |
0 |
Norway |
+1% |
Australia |
+8% |
Iceland |
+10% |
* The EU’s 15 member States will redistribute their targets
among themselves, taking advantage of a scheme under the Protocol
known as a “bubble”. The EU has already reached agreement on how
its targets will be redistributed.
** Some EITs have a baseline other than 1990.
*** The US has indicated its intention not to ratify the Kyoto
Protocol.
Note: Although they are listed in the Convention’s Annex I, Belarus
and Turkey are not included in the Protocol’s Annex B
as they were not Parties to the Convention when the Protocol was
adopted.
Upon entry into force, Kazakhstan, which has declared that
it wishes to be bound by the commitments of Annex I Parties under
the Convention, will become an Annex I Party under the Protocol.
As it had not made this declaration when the Protocol was adopted,
Kazakhstan does not have an emissions target listed for it in Annex
B.
The targets cover emissions of the six main greenhouse gases, namely:
• Carbon dioxide (CO2);
• Methane (CH4);
• Nitrous oxide (N2O);
• Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs);
• Perfluorocarbons (PFCs); and
• Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
The maximum amount of emissions (measured as the equivalent in
carbon dioxide) that a Party may emit over the commitment period
in order to comply with its emissions target is known as a Party’s
assigned amount.
The Protocol includes provisions for the review of its commitments,
so that these can be strengthened over time. Negotiations on targets
for the second commitment period are due to start in 2005, by which
time Annex I Parties must have made “demonstrable progress” in meeting
their commitments under the Protocol. The whole Protocol will be
reviewed at the second session of the COP, which will serve as the
“meeting of the Parties” to the Protocol (the so-called COP/MOP),
after the Protocol has entered into force.
To achieve their targets, Annex I Parties must put in place domestic
policies and measures. The Protocol provides
an indicative list of policies and measures that might help mitigate
climate change and promote sustainable development.
Parties may offset their emissions by increasing the amount of greenhouse
gases removed from the atmosphere by so-called carbon “sinks” in
the land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector. However,
only certain activities in this sector are eligible. These are afforestation,
reforestation and deforestation (defined
as eligible by the Kyoto Protocol) and forest management,
cropland management, grazing land management
and revegetation (added to the list of eligible
activities by the Marrakesh Accords). Greenhouse gases removed from
the atmosphere through eligible sink activities generate credits
known as removal units (RMUs). Any greenhouse gas
emissions from eligible activities, in turn, must be offset
by greater emission cuts or removals elsewhere.
Additional detailed rules govern the extent to which emissions and
removals from the LULUCF sector can be counted under the Protocol.
The amount of credit that can be claimed through forest management,
for example, is subject to an individual cap for each Party, which
is listed in the Marrakesh Accords.
The Protocol also establishes three innovative “mechanisms” known
as joint implementation, the clean
development mechanism and emissions trading.
These are designed to help Annex I Parties cut the cost of meeting
their emissions targets by taking advantage of opportunities to
reduce emissions, or increase greenhouse gas removals, that cost
less in other countries than at home.
Any Annex I Party that has ratified the Protocol may use the mechanisms
to help meet its emissions target, provided that it is complying
with its methodological and reporting obligations under the Protocol.
However, Parties must provide evidence that their use of the mechanisms
is “supplemental to domestic action”, which must constitute “a significant
element” of their efforts in meeting their commitments.
Businesses, environmental NGOs and other “legal entities” may participate
in the mechanisms, albeit under the responsibility of their governments.
Under joint implementation, an Annex I Party may implement
a project that reduces emissions (e.g. an energy efficiency scheme)
or increases removals by sinks (e.g. a reforestation project) in
the territory of another Annex I Party, and count the resulting
emission reduction units (ERUs) against its own target.
While the term “joint implementation” does not appear in Article
6 of the Protocol where this mechanism is defined, it is often used
as convenient shorthand. In practice, joint implementation projects
are most likely to take place in EITs, where there tends to be more
scope for cutting emissions at low cost.
An Article 6 supervisory committee will be set up
by the COP/MOP when it meets for the first time. This committee
will oversee a verification procedure for joint implementation
projects hosted by Parties that do not meet all the eligibility
requirements related to the Protocol’s methodological and reporting
obligations.
Under the clean development mechanism (CDM), Annex
I Parties may implement projects in non-Annex I Parties that reduce
emissions and use the resulting certified emission
reductions (CERs) to help meet their own targets. The CDM
also aims to help non-Annex I Parties achieve sustainable development
and contribute to the ultimate objective of the Convention.
The rulebook for the CDM set forth in the Marrakesh Accords focuses
on projects that reduce emissions. Rules are being developed, however,
for adoption at COP 9 in 2003, for including afforestation and reforestation
activities in the CDM for the first commitment period. These rules
include a limit on the extent to which Annex I Parties may use CERs
from such sink projects towards their targets.
Accredited independent organizations, known as operational
entities, will play an important role in the CDM project
cycle, including in the validation of proposed projects and certification
of emission reductions and removals. A levy from each CDM project
– known as a “share of the proceeds” – will help finance adaptation
activities in particularly vulnerable developing countries and cover
administrative expenses.
The Protocol envisages a prompt start to the CDM, allowing CERs
to accrue from projects from the year 2000 onwards. This prompt
start was put into effect at COP 7, with the establishment of the
CDM’s executive board.
Under emissions trading, an Annex I Party may transfer
some of the emissions under its assigned amount, known as assigned
amount units (AAUs), to another Annex I Party that finds
it relatively more difficult to meet its emissions target. It may
also transfer CERs, ERUs or RMUs that it has acquired through the
CDM, joint implementation or sink activities in the same way. In
order to address the concern that some countries could “over-sell”
and then be unable to meet their own targets, the Protocol rulebook
requires Annex I Parties to hold a minimum level of AAUs, CERs,
ERUs and/or RMUs in a commitment period reserve that
cannot be traded.
The Protocol mirrors the Convention in recognizing the specific
needs and concerns of developing countries, especially the most
vulnerable among them. Annex I Parties must thus provide information
on how they are striving to meet their emissions targets while minimizing
adverse impacts on developing countries. The Marrakesh Accords list
a series of measures that industrialized countries should prioritize
in order to reduce such impacts, such as removing subsidies associated
with environmentally-unfriendly technologies, and technological
development of nonenergy uses of fossil fuels.
A new adaptation fund was also established by the
Marrakesh Accords to manage the funds raised by the adaptation levy
on the CDM, as well as contributions from other sources. The fund
will be administered by the GEF, as the operating entity of the
Convention and Kyoto Protocol’s financial mechanism.
Annex I Parties will submit annual emission inventories and
regular national communications under
the Protocol, both of which will be subject to in-depth review
by expert review teams. Expert review teams have the mandate
to highlight potential compliance problems – known as questions
of implementation – that they find, and to refer these to
the Compliance Committee if Parties fail to address them. Parties
must also establish and maintain a national registry to
track and record transactions under the mechanisms. As an added
monitoring tool, the secretariat will keep an independent transaction
log to ensure that accurate records are maintained. It will
also publish an annual compilation and accounting report of
each Party’s emissions and its transactions over the year. All information,
except that designated as confidential, will be made available to
the public. (There are safeguards in place to limit what type of
information may be designated as confidential.)
The Protocol’s compliance system, agreed as part of the Marrakesh
Accords, gives “teeth” to its commitments. It consists of a Compliance
Committee, composed of a plenary, a bureau,
and two branches: a facilitative branch and an enforcement
branch. As their names suggest, the facilitative
branch aims to provide advice and assistance to Parties, including
“early-warning” that a Party may be in danger of not complying,
whereas the enforcement branch has the power to apply certain consequences
on Parties not meeting their commitments.
If a Party fails to meet its emissions target, it must make up the
difference in the second commitment period, plus a penalty of 30%.
It must also develop a compliance action plan,
and its eligibility to “sell” under emissions trading will be suspended.
The Protocol rulebook sets out detailed procedures for considering
cases of potential non-compliance, along with an expedited procedure
for reviewing cases concerning eligibility to participate in the
mechanisms.
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