Nuclear Energy for Ireland
The electric consumption in Ireland is currently about 25 TWh per year.
In France the electric consumption is 470 TWh per year, and 80% of it
provided by 58 reactors (1000 MW each on average). Therefore just 25 /
(470 / 58) = 3 reactors of 1000 MW located on one same site in Ireland
could provide a baseload supply of about 80% of the Irish electric
needs, as in France. This could be provided for example by 3 units of
the AP-1000 advanced pressurized reactor or by just 2 units of the EPR
(European Pressurized reactor) of 1600 MW each. The remaining 20% could
then be reasonably provided by a combination of renewable sources
(hydro, wind, tides, waves, etc.).
Such a program could slash the CO2 emissions in Ireland (per inhabitant)
by almost half in 2020.
The first Irish reactor could come on line starting in 2015, after
gaining public acceptance, taking the political decisions, the paper
work (3 years up to this point), and constructing the reactor (5 years).
The following reactors could be built and come on line in the next 5
years. It can be noted that in France (then 50 million inhabitants) 58
reactors were built in about 20 years after the first oil shock in 1973,
at a pace of 3 reactors per year.
In the longer term (2025-2040), allowing for some growth in the electric
consumption (especially to allow for electric cars, electric trains and
more electric heating in the future, to replace carbon fuels as the
world will be running out of gas and oil), Ireland could stabilize and
answer most of it's energy needs with about 5 units of 1000 MW each, or
3 EPR reactors.
This of course is not the only solution and should go along with energy
conservation, energy efficiency, the development of solar power
(especially for heating purposes : hot water production and domestic
heating), the development of geothermal energy, more ecological
construction techniques (better insulated homes, heated by heat pumps,
with double-flux air ventilation), the development of more sober electric cars, cogeneration of heat and power (which can be done by nuclear reactors)...
Such a program could slash the CO2 emissions in Ireland (per inhabitant)
by about three quarters (75%) by 2030, and perhaps up to about 90% by 2050.